The potential catastrophe is almost unimaginably large...

 
 

Nuclear weapons are so deadly it is - literally - hard to really even imagine anyone using one.  But, it is also important to understand the reality of the danger we face.

A small, crude, and simple-to-make nuclear bomb is light enough and small enough that it can easily fit in a mini-van.  Less than 100 pounds of heavily enriched uranium is sufficient to make a bomb as powerful as 20 million pounds of dynamite -- a "10-kiloton" bomb.

The damage would be enormous.  Everything within a two mile diameter will be damaged or destroyed.1 Every building, every car, every hospital, every house.  Every person.  In Manhattan, on a typical day at lunch, that would mean 500,000 people will die instantly.2 Over a million people will die within the next few days due to radiation exposure from the blast.  

Large sections of New York City will become uninhabitable due to radiation.  There will be no water available anywhere in Manhattan.  Everyone not killed will have to evacuate the now deadly wasteland.   The physical damage alone will be in the trillions of dollars and will plunge the country and world into a deep, deep global depression.3

All that, from one single, small, crude nuclear bomb.

If possible to even contemplate, a single nuclear warhead would be over ten times worse.

 
 
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  1 C.D.  Ferguson and W.C.  Potter, The Four Faces of Nuclear Terrorism, (Center for Nonproliferation Studies, Monterey Institute and the Nuclear Threat Initiative, 2004) pg.  52, Table 3.3.

2 G.  Allison, Nuclear Terrorism - The Ultimate Preventable Catastrophe (New York: Henry Holt and Co., 2004), pg.  4.

2 C.  Meade and R.C.  Molander, "Considering the Effects of a Catastrophic Terrorism Attack," RAND, 2006.  This report calculates the financial impact of a 10 kiloton nuclear bomb explosion at the Port of Long Beach, California, with estimated damage exceeding $1 trillion.  A similar bomb detonated in Manhattan would cause significant more economic damage in part due to the much greater density of buildings, the higher value of real estate, and the fact that Manhattan is the financial center of the country.  
 
 
     
 
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